Was that a tree analogy in the headline? Yep, this is Washington after all. Real estate is more evergreen then deciduous. It does not drop its leaves and go dormant for the winter like many of the beautiful deciduous trees in the area. Rather, real estate is like an evergreen, it remains green and lush all year long. People continue to buy and sell homes year round. The volume of activity slows down but the sales remain just a little below the summer peak. There is roughly a 25% seasonal curve here in Southwest Washington and the Metro Portland, OR area.
I have found that the people who are out looking in the cooler months are "the real deal". These folks could be inside sipping on a latte by the fire, yet they are out in the cold rain, snow, and sleet to look at houses. They are serious buyers. Sellers looking to get a leg up on the spring market would do well to keep their home listed through the winter.
Should you decide to list in the winter, be certain keep your walkways free of leaves, debris and snow. When showing the home a warm fire in the fireplace if you have one adds to the charm. No fireplace? Light a candle with a vanilla or smokey aroma.
Winter can be a good time to sell your home and is can be equally favorable for buyers. Don't let the clouds and cool air discourage you. Real estate is like an evergreen tree, it doesn't hibernate in the winter.
Showing posts with label homes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label homes. Show all posts
Monday, November 10, 2014
Monday, April 21, 2014
The Middle Market Pulse
By Rod Sager
Last week I wrote an article about a specific market segment here in Clark County. There is a vital sign that is important as this market continues its recovery that is often overlooked. The middle market pulse if you will. The bottom of our market has been hot for quite a while and continues to see a robust activity in sales and appreciation. But a very import question is this; is that creating motivation in the middle of the market. There is always demand for the bottom of the market and at the very top of the market there is always a fairly flat demand. The middle however is the pulse of the market.
The bottom is always in demand because that is the entry point. Back in 2010 I had a stellar sales year because I focused on the only part of the market that had demand. Entry level, first time home buyers. The interest rates were low and prices were at a ten year low. This created an opportunity for buyers with very modest income to actually own a home. Now the prices at the bottom have pushed high enough that many sellers are in a position to sell that entry level house with a cash at close scenario that allows them to move up to a middle market home in the $250-$350k range. So, are they pulling the trigger and making the move? Check out the article and see for yourself...
Spring Market Trends
Last week I wrote an article about a specific market segment here in Clark County. There is a vital sign that is important as this market continues its recovery that is often overlooked. The middle market pulse if you will. The bottom of our market has been hot for quite a while and continues to see a robust activity in sales and appreciation. But a very import question is this; is that creating motivation in the middle of the market. There is always demand for the bottom of the market and at the very top of the market there is always a fairly flat demand. The middle however is the pulse of the market.
The bottom is always in demand because that is the entry point. Back in 2010 I had a stellar sales year because I focused on the only part of the market that had demand. Entry level, first time home buyers. The interest rates were low and prices were at a ten year low. This created an opportunity for buyers with very modest income to actually own a home. Now the prices at the bottom have pushed high enough that many sellers are in a position to sell that entry level house with a cash at close scenario that allows them to move up to a middle market home in the $250-$350k range. So, are they pulling the trigger and making the move? Check out the article and see for yourself...
Spring Market Trends
Monday, April 7, 2014
Early Spring Often Sets the Tone
by Rod Sager
Here is an article from one of my other real estate blogs.
Real Estate with Realtor Rod Sager: Early Spring Often Sets the Tone: Looking back over the years I find that the early part of spring has proven to be a pretty good Nostradamus act for the real estate market. ...
Here is an article from one of my other real estate blogs.
Real Estate with Realtor Rod Sager: Early Spring Often Sets the Tone: Looking back over the years I find that the early part of spring has proven to be a pretty good Nostradamus act for the real estate market. ...
Monday, March 3, 2014
Why Listing a Home in March Works
by Rod Sager (originally published February 28th, 2014)

Information data and chart sourced from RMLS
Our real estate market locally has a modest sales spike in the summer months of roughly 10% above the annual monthly average and about 10% under in the middle of winter. That represents a total swing of roughly 20%. In some markets where winter weather is truly brutal, I would imagine the spread is significantly greater and in sunny SoCal it is probably a flatter curve. The chart above shows this annual trend with a notable exception in 2010 where the fall off came early. The 2013 curve was a more dramatic seasonal curve than the statistical average I compiled since 2001. The 2011 curve is very typical when compared to most of the years since 2001. The 2013 curve is more like one I would expect to see in severe winter climates like the upper Midwest.
I think the best way to wrap your arms around this is to break the home buyers into two very broad classes. Those highly motivated to buy with external pressure and those buying because they can. So the first group is motivated by things such as a job transfer, loss of job, a new baby on the way, divorce, etc. This is external pressure and that makes someone willing to trudge through a foot of snow in the cold misery of January to look at houses or deal with the inconvenience of listing at a time they would rather stay indoors and visit with family.
The latter category is someone with a new job with higher income and maybe they think, "Hey, we can finally afford that dream house on five acres". Or perhaps they are empty-nesters looking to downsize. These buyers and sellers are much more likely to list or start the buying process when it is convenient. They are less likely to brave the wild elements of January looking at houses.
Anther reason there is a spike in sales in the summer is that families with school age children prefer to move over summer vacation when the kids are out school. This is especially true if the children will be changing schools after the move.
In a real estate market like this one; the biggest driver has been lack of inventory in that under median price range. When inventory increases that will relieve some of the pressure and could stabilize prices. If a seller has a home that is a little less than ideal; this is the time to list. This market is driven right now by move in ready, clean condition, updated properties. If a listing is a little outside those ideal parameters, the best way to sell it is in a market with less competition. As more listings come on the market toward May, the house can lose value and or position against superior properties that become available. March is a great way to tap into the "spring fever" of home buying a little ahead of the market. This is the time to get that slightly out of favor listing in front of buyers before a wave of potentially more desirable properties arrive on the scene.
If a seller has that perfect updated, move in ready median priced listing, then sometimes waiting till April can be a smart move so as to tap the increase in buyers actively looking that occurs in mid to late spring. Of course one way to get it both ways is to list in March at a slightly high price, gauge activity, get feedback and either sell at a high price or build a strategy based on the feedback and activity in March and April to position the listing ideally for May and June.
March Madness is amazing for college basketball and can be equally so for real estate.
Friday, November 15, 2013
How Do Different Cities Compare on Price of Homes?
by Dan Jensen
Just for Friday Fun, I thought it might be interesting to see how Boise Idaho, Portland Oregon, and Vancouver Washington compare in their price of similar homes. Not the "cold" statistical summary that's often in the news, but real houses on the market TODAY!
Inserted below are one clean single level home in each of the 3 communities. Each home has 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms, a 2 car garage, and decent size lot. Each home was built in the mid 70's and appears from pictures and descriptions to be in good condition and ready for it's potential new owner.
Take a look and see what you think.
As always, if we can be of help in any way, we're very glad to do so. Have a wonderful Thanksgiving and thanks for stopping by!
The Equity Northwest Properties Team
Listings pulled this morning on Realtor.com public website.
Just for Friday Fun, I thought it might be interesting to see how Boise Idaho, Portland Oregon, and Vancouver Washington compare in their price of similar homes. Not the "cold" statistical summary that's often in the news, but real houses on the market TODAY!
Inserted below are one clean single level home in each of the 3 communities. Each home has 3 bedrooms, and 2 bathrooms, a 2 car garage, and decent size lot. Each home was built in the mid 70's and appears from pictures and descriptions to be in good condition and ready for it's potential new owner.
Take a look and see what you think.
As always, if we can be of help in any way, we're very glad to do so. Have a wonderful Thanksgiving and thanks for stopping by!
The Equity Northwest Properties Team
Boise, Idaho
Portland, Oregon
Vancouver, Washington
Friday, October 25, 2013
Halloween Home Marketing
by Rod Sager
In six days all the neighborhood kids will be plying the streets dressed as zombies, goblins, super-heroes or maybe even a princess. Trick or Treat! If a seller has their home listed during Halloween there is a great marketing opportunity lurking beneath the veil of candy and costumes.
Typically there are two sets of trick or treaters. The first set which likely begins the annual suger pilgrimage just after dark are the little kids. Toddlers and grade schoolers. These adorable little monsters are almost always accompanied by the parents. Mom and or Dad often wait out front while the little goblins run up to the door smiling and holding out their little plastic jack-o-lantern. This is a great marketing opportunity. If the seller feels chatty they might consider having someone in the family hand out treats while they go talk it up with the neighbors. Know anyone interested in living in this neighborhood? Have a flyer available a give it to them. If the seller is shy, then they should ask their real estate professional to make a half page flyer that can be folded to a 1/4 size and toss it in with the candy. Maybe tell the kid that the paper is for mommy and daddy. The second wave is usually the teenagers. They show up with a king sized pillow case looking for the holy grail of sugerdom. Give them the same flyer and ask them to give it to their folks.
I like to present the idea to people in the neighborhood that they can choose their next neighbor. If they know someone that would like to live in this area, this house represents an opportunity. Your real estate professional should be more than happy to provide flyers for this purpose. During Halloween sellers should make the home bright and inviting despite the dark and creepy nature of the event. This is one time to go for fun and spunky rather than the haunted theme.
Even though sellers hire a real estate agent to help them sell their home, their own participation can help to yield a higher price and or a faster close. It does not matter whether the market is hot or cold, sellers need to make their home stand out against the rest and never miss an opportunity to put it in front of people.
So now I'll say so long and in my best Vincent Price voice a diabolical laugh fades to silence. Buahaha.
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| As pretty as this is, clear a path through the leaves :) |
Typically there are two sets of trick or treaters. The first set which likely begins the annual suger pilgrimage just after dark are the little kids. Toddlers and grade schoolers. These adorable little monsters are almost always accompanied by the parents. Mom and or Dad often wait out front while the little goblins run up to the door smiling and holding out their little plastic jack-o-lantern. This is a great marketing opportunity. If the seller feels chatty they might consider having someone in the family hand out treats while they go talk it up with the neighbors. Know anyone interested in living in this neighborhood? Have a flyer available a give it to them. If the seller is shy, then they should ask their real estate professional to make a half page flyer that can be folded to a 1/4 size and toss it in with the candy. Maybe tell the kid that the paper is for mommy and daddy. The second wave is usually the teenagers. They show up with a king sized pillow case looking for the holy grail of sugerdom. Give them the same flyer and ask them to give it to their folks.
I like to present the idea to people in the neighborhood that they can choose their next neighbor. If they know someone that would like to live in this area, this house represents an opportunity. Your real estate professional should be more than happy to provide flyers for this purpose. During Halloween sellers should make the home bright and inviting despite the dark and creepy nature of the event. This is one time to go for fun and spunky rather than the haunted theme.
Even though sellers hire a real estate agent to help them sell their home, their own participation can help to yield a higher price and or a faster close. It does not matter whether the market is hot or cold, sellers need to make their home stand out against the rest and never miss an opportunity to put it in front of people.
So now I'll say so long and in my best Vincent Price voice a diabolical laugh fades to silence. Buahaha.
Thursday, October 3, 2013
Buying Cosmetic Fixers
by Rod Sager
Locally our real estate market has transitioned into a seller's market save for the higher price ranges. Coping with increasing prices is often a challenge for buyers as they watch the value of their dollar erode. One thing they need to realize is that the turn key, move in ready homes spike first and cosmetic fixers can remain a value in a moderately appreciating market like we have right now. Please refer to this blog post for some valuable information on cosmetic fixers.
Locally our real estate market has transitioned into a seller's market save for the higher price ranges. Coping with increasing prices is often a challenge for buyers as they watch the value of their dollar erode. One thing they need to realize is that the turn key, move in ready homes spike first and cosmetic fixers can remain a value in a moderately appreciating market like we have right now. Please refer to this blog post for some valuable information on cosmetic fixers.
Don't Overlook a Home's Potential
Friday, September 6, 2013
The Back to School Lull and Home Affordability
by Rod Sager
All the kiddies are on the bus and off to school. Much to their chagrin but leaving mom and dad with a happy grin. This is a hectic time in the lives of families as the summer transitions to fall. I am noticing here in the local market a bit of a lull in activity. I believe we will see a slow down as is typical for September, but should still beat last year's ninth month figures. As the month comes to a close it is likely to pick up a bit.
Autumn can be a great time to sell or buy a home. The air is crisp and clean, colors begin to shift to golden hues of red and orange. It is just a wonderful time of year. If you are listing a home it is wise to keep the leaves clear of the walkways. Wet leaves are hazardous and may keep some people from looking at the home thoroughly. Keep the rain gutters clear of debris as well. Overflowing gutters are easy to fix but leave a negative impression on buyers. Here is a link to a great article on selling your home in the fall. One thing you will find in the article is a tip on keeping the home as bright as possible. Here in the Washington we have the double whammy as the year labors on. First, we get allot of cloud cover which makes homes darker inside during the day. Second we are well above 45 degrees of latitude and that means a low hanging sun for an even darker dark day. The bottom line is bright sells!
For buyers the time may be right now. As the activity slows down just a touch, the manic multiple offer scenarios will be a little less frequent. Rates are stable, for now, but the end of this year marks the end of several key federal programs that could create a dilemma for entry level buyers. Of course prices have been edging up as well, so buyers that wait will likely pay more. The home affordability index peaked in early 2012 and now is beginning to tighten up. The chart shows the index based on an NAR model. The value is the percentage of the mortgage on a median priced home that the median family income can support. As of June this year it was 167%. That means a family earning the median income in this area can afford 167% of the mortgage of the median priced home. This is still very affordable and frankly means that even families well below the median income can qualify for home at or near the median. Home affordability is more important than price since price is relative. If a house is $50,000 that is a low price, but if a buyer only qualifies for $45,000 than it is relatively expensive and out of reach. Keeping the affordability index at 100% or more is healthy for the market. we have a healthy market right now, so buyers should jump in and sellers should get ready to move.
All the kiddies are on the bus and off to school. Much to their chagrin but leaving mom and dad with a happy grin. This is a hectic time in the lives of families as the summer transitions to fall. I am noticing here in the local market a bit of a lull in activity. I believe we will see a slow down as is typical for September, but should still beat last year's ninth month figures. As the month comes to a close it is likely to pick up a bit.
Autumn can be a great time to sell or buy a home. The air is crisp and clean, colors begin to shift to golden hues of red and orange. It is just a wonderful time of year. If you are listing a home it is wise to keep the leaves clear of the walkways. Wet leaves are hazardous and may keep some people from looking at the home thoroughly. Keep the rain gutters clear of debris as well. Overflowing gutters are easy to fix but leave a negative impression on buyers. Here is a link to a great article on selling your home in the fall. One thing you will find in the article is a tip on keeping the home as bright as possible. Here in the Washington we have the double whammy as the year labors on. First, we get allot of cloud cover which makes homes darker inside during the day. Second we are well above 45 degrees of latitude and that means a low hanging sun for an even darker dark day. The bottom line is bright sells!
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| Source, Regional Multiple Listing Service |
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Monday, August 19, 2013
July's MLS sales figures for Clark County were stellar
By Rod Sager (from Real Estate with Realtor Rod, August 16th, 2013)
The numbers are in for July from our local multiple listing service and they look great. Looking back first at last year, July 2012 was healthy but not stellar. Inventory was starting to tighten up and demand was strong enough in certain segments to generate multiple offers. 499 transactions were closed in July 2012 for Clark County against this year's total of 696. We are still well off the frenzied pace of 2005-2007 but clearly the best we've seen since "the crash".
Evaluating numbers is never as easy as just looking at the one or two "big" stats. Often people, including some Realtors®, look at median price or total unit sales as an indicator that all market segments are moving equally. Just because the median price is up 21% by no means suggests that any random house that was sold last year is now worth 21% more this year. The real estate market is very complex with neighborhood fluctuations, locations, home size, price range, and styles often performing independent of each other based on market demand or supply.
The chart below shows the "big" over all county stats for this local market and then breaks the numbers down a little further to show some broad segment trends. The big question for John and Sally homeowner is often geared towards, "can I sell MY house right now"? If John and Sally own a condo they may not be much better off this year than they were last year in market appreciation. The condo market is almost always late to recover.
Last year the sales figures were heaviest in the entry level market. Those $125-150k three bedroom ramblers were being snatched up and as such, supply tightened up and prices soared. This year that market segment was priced high enough that demand slowed down a little, but the middle market surged with larger four bedroom houses seeing significant increases in unit sales. Those bigger mid sized homes saw a massive 59% increase in sales but a more modest 13% increase in median price.
Last year I said that the bottom has to tighten up first before the middle can take off. Well, the bottom did tighten up and now the middle is taking off this year. That is driving the increase in median price. The smaller two bedroom houses have peaked with only a 1.3% increase in median price despite a large surge in unit sales of 46%. Even the bread and butter three bedroom market that was red hot last year, is showing preliminary indications that the buyers are nearing their limits. The 18% increase in median against a large surge of 29% in units sold is still quite robust, however. The sellers in the entry level often move up to that bigger house and as they sell their 2 and 3 bedroom homes they move into the middle market. The 59% increase in unit sales in that segment will likely produce more impressive median increases when we check the numbers in a few months.
Of course this discussion has to hinge on keeping other complex variables favorable, such as the general economy, jobs and the ever critical mortgage rates.
The big takeaway for homeowners is the fact that their home that may have been upside down or too tight to sell, could in fact be a seller today. Contact your favorite Realtor® for a Comparative Market Analysis on your home. Most offer this service for no charge, I certainly will.
The numbers are in for July from our local multiple listing service and they look great. Looking back first at last year, July 2012 was healthy but not stellar. Inventory was starting to tighten up and demand was strong enough in certain segments to generate multiple offers. 499 transactions were closed in July 2012 for Clark County against this year's total of 696. We are still well off the frenzied pace of 2005-2007 but clearly the best we've seen since "the crash".
Evaluating numbers is never as easy as just looking at the one or two "big" stats. Often people, including some Realtors®, look at median price or total unit sales as an indicator that all market segments are moving equally. Just because the median price is up 21% by no means suggests that any random house that was sold last year is now worth 21% more this year. The real estate market is very complex with neighborhood fluctuations, locations, home size, price range, and styles often performing independent of each other based on market demand or supply.
The chart below shows the "big" over all county stats for this local market and then breaks the numbers down a little further to show some broad segment trends. The big question for John and Sally homeowner is often geared towards, "can I sell MY house right now"? If John and Sally own a condo they may not be much better off this year than they were last year in market appreciation. The condo market is almost always late to recover.
Last year the sales figures were heaviest in the entry level market. Those $125-150k three bedroom ramblers were being snatched up and as such, supply tightened up and prices soared. This year that market segment was priced high enough that demand slowed down a little, but the middle market surged with larger four bedroom houses seeing significant increases in unit sales. Those bigger mid sized homes saw a massive 59% increase in sales but a more modest 13% increase in median price.
Last year I said that the bottom has to tighten up first before the middle can take off. Well, the bottom did tighten up and now the middle is taking off this year. That is driving the increase in median price. The smaller two bedroom houses have peaked with only a 1.3% increase in median price despite a large surge in unit sales of 46%. Even the bread and butter three bedroom market that was red hot last year, is showing preliminary indications that the buyers are nearing their limits. The 18% increase in median against a large surge of 29% in units sold is still quite robust, however. The sellers in the entry level often move up to that bigger house and as they sell their 2 and 3 bedroom homes they move into the middle market. The 59% increase in unit sales in that segment will likely produce more impressive median increases when we check the numbers in a few months.
Of course this discussion has to hinge on keeping other complex variables favorable, such as the general economy, jobs and the ever critical mortgage rates.
The big takeaway for homeowners is the fact that their home that may have been upside down or too tight to sell, could in fact be a seller today. Contact your favorite Realtor® for a Comparative Market Analysis on your home. Most offer this service for no charge, I certainly will.
Monday, July 22, 2013
Rent or Own?
Census information shows some interesting differences in housing that is available for renters vs. that which is available for sale. Overall the most interesting statistic is the median age of an owner at 54 versus the median for a renter at 39. I believe the age gap to be attributed primarily between two key factors. Younger people earn less money on average and tend to be more mobile. Mobility lends itself to rent rather than own. But if money is driving a younger person away from home ownership, this market is an ideal opportunity to own sooner rather than later. With home prices on the rise but still low and rates remaining at the historical bottom of the range, money is not the issue.
I have found that my buyers over the last two years have in fact been on average younger than ever. I would imagine that the next iteration of this bi-annual government report will show a closer gap between owners and renters as young people seem to jumping at the opportunity to buy that this market has provided.
From the Oregonian, Portland, OR:
"Rent or buy? A recent housing survey shows that the stock of Portland-area rental homes offers a very different sent of amenities and conditions than metro owner-occupied homes.
Many of the differences are likely explained by demographics. Homeowners have a median household income of $70,000, while renters' median household income is $34,164. Renters also skew younger: the median age for the head householder among renters is 39, compared with 54 for homeowners.
The American Housing Survey, conducted by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development every two years, features metro-area numbers are released on a rotating basis. Portland's haven't been since 2002.
The Census Bureau surveyed 3,885 Portland-area householders, or about one in every 240 housing units. These numbers reflect data collected in 2011.
-- Elliot Njus"
I have found that my buyers over the last two years have in fact been on average younger than ever. I would imagine that the next iteration of this bi-annual government report will show a closer gap between owners and renters as young people seem to jumping at the opportunity to buy that this market has provided.
From the Oregonian, Portland, OR:
"Rent or buy? A recent housing survey shows that the stock of Portland-area rental homes offers a very different sent of amenities and conditions than metro owner-occupied homes.
Many of the differences are likely explained by demographics. Homeowners have a median household income of $70,000, while renters' median household income is $34,164. Renters also skew younger: the median age for the head householder among renters is 39, compared with 54 for homeowners.
The American Housing Survey, conducted by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development every two years, features metro-area numbers are released on a rotating basis. Portland's haven't been since 2002.
The Census Bureau surveyed 3,885 Portland-area householders, or about one in every 240 housing units. These numbers reflect data collected in 2011.
-- Elliot Njus"
Monday, July 15, 2013
Young People Want to Buy
I thought this was an interesting article from the NAR:
WASHINGTON (July 9, 2013) – Millennials are more confident than any other age group that their recent home purchase was a good financial investment, according to a new study released today. The inaugural 2013 National Association of Realtors® Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends evaluated the generational differences of recent home buyers and sellers and found that while eight out of 10 recent buyers considered their home purchase a good financial investment, the number was even higher, 85 percent, for younger buyers under the age of 32.
“Homeownership is an investment in your future, and is how many younger American families begin to accumulate wealth,” said Paul Bishop, NAR vice president of research. “The oldest of the Millennial generation are now entering the years in which people typically buy a first home, and despite the recent downturn, homeownership still matters to them. The sheer size of the Millennial generation, the largest in history after baby boomers, is expected to give a powerful boost to long-run housing demand, though in the short-term mortgage accessibility and student debt repayment remain challenges.”
The study found that the largest group of recent buyers was Generation X Americans, those born between 1965 and 1979, who comprised 31 percent of recent purchases, followed closely by Millennials, sometimes called Generation Y, those born between 1980 and 2000, at 28 percent. Percentages of recent home purchases among prior generations was significantly lower, 18 percent were Younger Boomers, those born between 1955 and 1964; 14 percent were Older Boomers, Americans born between 1946 and 1954; and 10 percent were from the Silent Generation, those born between 1925 and 1945.
The median age of Millennial home buyers was 28, their median income was $66,200 and they typically bought a 1,700-square foot home costing $165,000. The typical Gen X buyer was 39 years old, had a median income of $93,100, and purchased a 2,100-square foot home costing $235,000.
The previous living arrangement of recent buyers varied greatly across the generations; among Millennials, 65 percent rented an apartment or house and 22 percent lived with their parents, relatives or friends; more than half of all Baby Boomer and Silent Generation buyers owned their previous residence.
The study found that older generations of home buyers prefer more recently built homes. Millennials typically bought homes built around 1986, nearly a decade older than the homes typically bought by the Silent Generation.
Younger buyers had a tendency to stay closer to their previous residence, often staying within 10 miles, whereas older buyers moved longer distances, typically more than 20 miles from their previous home.
Younger buyers were more likely to buy in an urban or central city area than older buyers; 21 percent of Millennials bought a home in an urban location compared to only 13 percent of Older Boomer and Silent Generation buyers.
The reason for buying a home also varies across the generations; younger buyers most often cited the desire to own a home of their own whereas older buyers wanted to be closer to family and friends. When it comes to factors influencing neighborhood choice, younger generations cited convenience to jobs, affordability of homes, and quality of the school district. Older generations placed higher importance on convenience to family and friends and healthcare facilities.
When it comes to a home’s green features, younger buyers placed higher importance on commuting costs than older generations who placed higher importance on a home’s energy efficient features and living in an environmentally friendly community.
Millennials tended to make more compromises with their home purchase than any other generation. Millennials most often conceded on the price and size of the home, lot size, distance from job and style of home; whereas nearly half of Older Boomer and Silent Generation buyers made no compromises on their recent home purchase.
As the age of recent buyers increases so does the rate of owning more than one home; among Millennials, 8 percent own more than one home, which could include either a vacation home or investment property; compared to 21 percent of Gen X-ers, 28 percent of Younger Boomers, and 27 percent of Older Boomers, and 26 percent of the Silent Generation.
Home buyers of all ages often begin the home buying process by looking online for properties for sales; however, the frequency of use of the internet to search for homes decreases as age increases. Ninety percent of Millennials frequently used the internet to search for homes compared to less than half of Silent Generation buyers. Younger generations of buyers were also more likely to find the home they purchased through the internet; older buyers most often learned about the home they purchased from their real estate agent.
Buyers of all ages gain many benefits from working with a real estate professional. Among the age groups, younger buyers are more likely to want an agent’s help understanding the home buying process, presumably because many are buying a home for the first time. Younger buyers were most often referred to their agent by a friend, neighbor or relative whereas older buyers were increasingly likely to work with the same agent they previously used to buy or sell a home.
When it comes to choosing an agent, reputation was important to buyers of all ages; however, younger buyers more often cited an agent’s honesty and trustworthiness as the most important factor compared to older buyers who most often cited the agent’s knowledge of the neighborhood – perhaps because older buyers tend to move further distances and may have less familiarity with area.
The median down payment for Millennials was 5 percent, considerably less than older generations of buyers whose down payment ranged from 8 percent for Gen X buyers to 22 percent for Silent Generation buyers. Younger buyers who financed their home purchase most often relied on savings for their down payment whereas older buyers were more likely use proceeds from the sale of a primary residence.
“An interesting finding is that Older Boomers and Silent Generation buyers found the mortgage application and approval process more difficult than expected compared to younger buyers,” said Bishop. “This underscores the ongoing challenges that many credit worthy home buyers face with today’s tight credit standards.”
The largest group of recent home sellers was from Generation X, comprising 30 percent of recent sales, followed by Younger Boomers (21 percent), Older Boomers (21 percent) and the Silent Generation (19 percent). As the age of sellers increased, the share of married and unmarried couples declined and the percentage of single female home buyers increased, from 4 percent among Millennials to more than 17 percent among Boomer and Silent Generation sellers, perhaps due to death or divorce.
Like buyers, older sellers tend to move greater distances, and are more likely than younger generations to move out of the state or region. While younger buyers typically moved to larger, higher priced homes, the data shows a clear trend of downsizing to smaller, less expensive homes among the Older Boomer and Silent Generations.
Typically the older the seller the longer the tenure in the home, while Millennials had been in their previous home for a median of five years, Gen X-ers stayed 8 years, Younger Boomers owned their home for 11 years, Older Boomers stayed for 13 years, and the Silent Generation kept their previous home for 15 years.
The reasons for selling a home also varied among the generations. Younger buyers were more likely to move to accommodate job relocation or desired to upgrade to a larger home. In comparison, older buyers were often looking for a smaller home due to retirement and because upkeep was too difficult due to health or financial limitations, or to be closer to family or friends.
When it comes to negotiating, older sellers are often more willing to reduce their home’s asking price but are less likely to offer buyer incentives such as home warranty policies or assistance with closing costs.
Of sellers working with real estate agents, the study found that older generations of buyers are more likely to use full-service brokerages in which agents provide a broad range of services. While more than two-thirds of Millennials used full-service brokerages, they were more likely than other generations to choose limited service, which includes discount brokerage, or minimal service, such as simply listing the home on a multiple listing service, presumably because they have less equity in their home.
Sellers of all ages typically found a real estate agent through a referral or friend; however, younger sellers were more likely to use the same real estate broker or agent for their home purchase, 59 percent of Millennials used the same agent compared to 42 percent of Older Boomer sellers. Younger sellers typically want their selling agents help with selling the home within a specific timeframe and pricing the home competitively, whereas older buyers are looking for their agent’s help with marketing the home and finding a buyer.
For additional NAR commentary on the home buying habits of Millennials, watch this video.
NAR mailed an eight-page questionnaire in July 2012 to a national sample of 93,502 home buyers and sellers who purchased their homes between July 2011 and June 2012, according to county records and using the Tailored Survey Design Method. It generated 8,501 usable responses; the adjusted response rate was 9.1 percent. All information is characteristic of the 12-month period ending in June 2012 with the exception of income data, which are for 2011. Because of rounding and omissions for space, percentage distributions for some findings may not add up to 100 percent.
The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
WASHINGTON (July 9, 2013) – Millennials are more confident than any other age group that their recent home purchase was a good financial investment, according to a new study released today. The inaugural 2013 National Association of Realtors® Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends evaluated the generational differences of recent home buyers and sellers and found that while eight out of 10 recent buyers considered their home purchase a good financial investment, the number was even higher, 85 percent, for younger buyers under the age of 32.
“Homeownership is an investment in your future, and is how many younger American families begin to accumulate wealth,” said Paul Bishop, NAR vice president of research. “The oldest of the Millennial generation are now entering the years in which people typically buy a first home, and despite the recent downturn, homeownership still matters to them. The sheer size of the Millennial generation, the largest in history after baby boomers, is expected to give a powerful boost to long-run housing demand, though in the short-term mortgage accessibility and student debt repayment remain challenges.”
The study found that the largest group of recent buyers was Generation X Americans, those born between 1965 and 1979, who comprised 31 percent of recent purchases, followed closely by Millennials, sometimes called Generation Y, those born between 1980 and 2000, at 28 percent. Percentages of recent home purchases among prior generations was significantly lower, 18 percent were Younger Boomers, those born between 1955 and 1964; 14 percent were Older Boomers, Americans born between 1946 and 1954; and 10 percent were from the Silent Generation, those born between 1925 and 1945.
The median age of Millennial home buyers was 28, their median income was $66,200 and they typically bought a 1,700-square foot home costing $165,000. The typical Gen X buyer was 39 years old, had a median income of $93,100, and purchased a 2,100-square foot home costing $235,000.
The previous living arrangement of recent buyers varied greatly across the generations; among Millennials, 65 percent rented an apartment or house and 22 percent lived with their parents, relatives or friends; more than half of all Baby Boomer and Silent Generation buyers owned their previous residence.
The study found that older generations of home buyers prefer more recently built homes. Millennials typically bought homes built around 1986, nearly a decade older than the homes typically bought by the Silent Generation.
Younger buyers had a tendency to stay closer to their previous residence, often staying within 10 miles, whereas older buyers moved longer distances, typically more than 20 miles from their previous home.
Younger buyers were more likely to buy in an urban or central city area than older buyers; 21 percent of Millennials bought a home in an urban location compared to only 13 percent of Older Boomer and Silent Generation buyers.
The reason for buying a home also varies across the generations; younger buyers most often cited the desire to own a home of their own whereas older buyers wanted to be closer to family and friends. When it comes to factors influencing neighborhood choice, younger generations cited convenience to jobs, affordability of homes, and quality of the school district. Older generations placed higher importance on convenience to family and friends and healthcare facilities.
When it comes to a home’s green features, younger buyers placed higher importance on commuting costs than older generations who placed higher importance on a home’s energy efficient features and living in an environmentally friendly community.
Millennials tended to make more compromises with their home purchase than any other generation. Millennials most often conceded on the price and size of the home, lot size, distance from job and style of home; whereas nearly half of Older Boomer and Silent Generation buyers made no compromises on their recent home purchase.
As the age of recent buyers increases so does the rate of owning more than one home; among Millennials, 8 percent own more than one home, which could include either a vacation home or investment property; compared to 21 percent of Gen X-ers, 28 percent of Younger Boomers, and 27 percent of Older Boomers, and 26 percent of the Silent Generation.
Home buyers of all ages often begin the home buying process by looking online for properties for sales; however, the frequency of use of the internet to search for homes decreases as age increases. Ninety percent of Millennials frequently used the internet to search for homes compared to less than half of Silent Generation buyers. Younger generations of buyers were also more likely to find the home they purchased through the internet; older buyers most often learned about the home they purchased from their real estate agent.
Buyers of all ages gain many benefits from working with a real estate professional. Among the age groups, younger buyers are more likely to want an agent’s help understanding the home buying process, presumably because many are buying a home for the first time. Younger buyers were most often referred to their agent by a friend, neighbor or relative whereas older buyers were increasingly likely to work with the same agent they previously used to buy or sell a home.
When it comes to choosing an agent, reputation was important to buyers of all ages; however, younger buyers more often cited an agent’s honesty and trustworthiness as the most important factor compared to older buyers who most often cited the agent’s knowledge of the neighborhood – perhaps because older buyers tend to move further distances and may have less familiarity with area.
The median down payment for Millennials was 5 percent, considerably less than older generations of buyers whose down payment ranged from 8 percent for Gen X buyers to 22 percent for Silent Generation buyers. Younger buyers who financed their home purchase most often relied on savings for their down payment whereas older buyers were more likely use proceeds from the sale of a primary residence.
“An interesting finding is that Older Boomers and Silent Generation buyers found the mortgage application and approval process more difficult than expected compared to younger buyers,” said Bishop. “This underscores the ongoing challenges that many credit worthy home buyers face with today’s tight credit standards.”
The largest group of recent home sellers was from Generation X, comprising 30 percent of recent sales, followed by Younger Boomers (21 percent), Older Boomers (21 percent) and the Silent Generation (19 percent). As the age of sellers increased, the share of married and unmarried couples declined and the percentage of single female home buyers increased, from 4 percent among Millennials to more than 17 percent among Boomer and Silent Generation sellers, perhaps due to death or divorce.
Like buyers, older sellers tend to move greater distances, and are more likely than younger generations to move out of the state or region. While younger buyers typically moved to larger, higher priced homes, the data shows a clear trend of downsizing to smaller, less expensive homes among the Older Boomer and Silent Generations.
Typically the older the seller the longer the tenure in the home, while Millennials had been in their previous home for a median of five years, Gen X-ers stayed 8 years, Younger Boomers owned their home for 11 years, Older Boomers stayed for 13 years, and the Silent Generation kept their previous home for 15 years.
The reasons for selling a home also varied among the generations. Younger buyers were more likely to move to accommodate job relocation or desired to upgrade to a larger home. In comparison, older buyers were often looking for a smaller home due to retirement and because upkeep was too difficult due to health or financial limitations, or to be closer to family or friends.
When it comes to negotiating, older sellers are often more willing to reduce their home’s asking price but are less likely to offer buyer incentives such as home warranty policies or assistance with closing costs.
Of sellers working with real estate agents, the study found that older generations of buyers are more likely to use full-service brokerages in which agents provide a broad range of services. While more than two-thirds of Millennials used full-service brokerages, they were more likely than other generations to choose limited service, which includes discount brokerage, or minimal service, such as simply listing the home on a multiple listing service, presumably because they have less equity in their home.
Sellers of all ages typically found a real estate agent through a referral or friend; however, younger sellers were more likely to use the same real estate broker or agent for their home purchase, 59 percent of Millennials used the same agent compared to 42 percent of Older Boomer sellers. Younger sellers typically want their selling agents help with selling the home within a specific timeframe and pricing the home competitively, whereas older buyers are looking for their agent’s help with marketing the home and finding a buyer.
For additional NAR commentary on the home buying habits of Millennials, watch this video.
NAR mailed an eight-page questionnaire in July 2012 to a national sample of 93,502 home buyers and sellers who purchased their homes between July 2011 and June 2012, according to county records and using the Tailored Survey Design Method. It generated 8,501 usable responses; the adjusted response rate was 9.1 percent. All information is characteristic of the 12-month period ending in June 2012 with the exception of income data, which are for 2011. Because of rounding and omissions for space, percentage distributions for some findings may not add up to 100 percent.
The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
Monday, July 8, 2013
Prices moving up, inventory tight.
Rod Sager
Our local market is reflecting upward trending prices and tight inventory. For buyers this means it is time to jump off the fence and into the market before your home buying dollars are squeezed too tight. For sellers, the time to list could be right now. There is no way to determine how long this upward pricing will continue. We could see extended growth over several years or we could see a top out and flat line next year. There are too many external factors that effect the real estate market to make an absolute assertion. What we do know is that right now we have low prices that are quickly rising and we have very low interest rates. This is a golden moment in real estate where a buyer can lock in a low interest rate for 30 years and take advantage of robust market appreciation. Below are some excerpts from a recent article posted by the National Association of Realtors®.
"WASHINGTON (June 20, 2013) – Existing-home sales improved in May and remain solidly above a year ago, while the median price continued to rise by double-digit rates from a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors®."
"Total existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 4.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.18 million in May from 4.97 million in April, and is 12.9 percent above the 4.59 million-unit pace in May 2012."
"Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the recovery is strengthening and to expect limited housing supplies for the balance of the year in much of the country. “The housing numbers are overwhelmingly positive. However, the number of available homes is unlikely to grow, despite a nice gain in May, unless new home construction ramps up quickly by an additional 50 percent,” he said. “The home price growth is too fast, and only additional supply from new homebuilding can moderate future price growth.”"
"Existing-home sales are at the highest level since November 2009 when the market jumped to 5.44 million as buyers took advantage of tax stimulus. Sales have stayed above year-ago levels for 23 months, while the national median price shows 15 consecutive months of year-over-year increases".
"NAR President Gary Thomas, broker-owner of Evergreen Realty in Villa Park, Calif., said market conditions today are vastly different than during the housing boom. “The boom period was marked by easy credit and overbuilding, but today we have tight mortgage credit and widespread shortages of homes for sale,” he said.“The issue now is pent-up demand and strong growth in the number of households, with buyer traffic 29 percent above a year ago, coinciding with several years of inadequate housing construction. These conditions are contributing to sustainable price growth,” Thomas said."
"Forty-five percent of all homes sold in May were on the market for less than a month. The median time on the market is the shortest since monthly tracking began in May 2011; on an annual basis, a separate NAR survey of home buyers and sellers shows the shortest selling time was 4 weeks in both 2004 and 2005."
"Single-family home sales rose 5.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.60 million in May from 4.38 million in April, and are 12.7 percent higher than the 4.08 million-unit pace in May 2012. The median existing single-family home price was $208,700 in May, up 15.8 percent above a year ago, the strongest increase since October 2005 when it jumped 16.9 percent from a year earlier."
"Existing-home sales in the West increased 2.5 percent to a pace of 1.23 million in May and are 7.0 percent above a year ago. With the tightest regional supply, the median price in the West was $276,400, up 19.9 percent from May 2012."
Our local market is reflecting upward trending prices and tight inventory. For buyers this means it is time to jump off the fence and into the market before your home buying dollars are squeezed too tight. For sellers, the time to list could be right now. There is no way to determine how long this upward pricing will continue. We could see extended growth over several years or we could see a top out and flat line next year. There are too many external factors that effect the real estate market to make an absolute assertion. What we do know is that right now we have low prices that are quickly rising and we have very low interest rates. This is a golden moment in real estate where a buyer can lock in a low interest rate for 30 years and take advantage of robust market appreciation. Below are some excerpts from a recent article posted by the National Association of Realtors®.
"WASHINGTON (June 20, 2013) – Existing-home sales improved in May and remain solidly above a year ago, while the median price continued to rise by double-digit rates from a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors®."
"Total existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 4.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.18 million in May from 4.97 million in April, and is 12.9 percent above the 4.59 million-unit pace in May 2012."
"Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the recovery is strengthening and to expect limited housing supplies for the balance of the year in much of the country. “The housing numbers are overwhelmingly positive. However, the number of available homes is unlikely to grow, despite a nice gain in May, unless new home construction ramps up quickly by an additional 50 percent,” he said. “The home price growth is too fast, and only additional supply from new homebuilding can moderate future price growth.”"
"Existing-home sales are at the highest level since November 2009 when the market jumped to 5.44 million as buyers took advantage of tax stimulus. Sales have stayed above year-ago levels for 23 months, while the national median price shows 15 consecutive months of year-over-year increases".
"NAR President Gary Thomas, broker-owner of Evergreen Realty in Villa Park, Calif., said market conditions today are vastly different than during the housing boom. “The boom period was marked by easy credit and overbuilding, but today we have tight mortgage credit and widespread shortages of homes for sale,” he said.“The issue now is pent-up demand and strong growth in the number of households, with buyer traffic 29 percent above a year ago, coinciding with several years of inadequate housing construction. These conditions are contributing to sustainable price growth,” Thomas said."
"Forty-five percent of all homes sold in May were on the market for less than a month. The median time on the market is the shortest since monthly tracking began in May 2011; on an annual basis, a separate NAR survey of home buyers and sellers shows the shortest selling time was 4 weeks in both 2004 and 2005."
"Single-family home sales rose 5.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.60 million in May from 4.38 million in April, and are 12.7 percent higher than the 4.08 million-unit pace in May 2012. The median existing single-family home price was $208,700 in May, up 15.8 percent above a year ago, the strongest increase since October 2005 when it jumped 16.9 percent from a year earlier."
"Existing-home sales in the West increased 2.5 percent to a pace of 1.23 million in May and are 7.0 percent above a year ago. With the tightest regional supply, the median price in the West was $276,400, up 19.9 percent from May 2012."
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